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Red181
140361.6
260764.2
397437.0
Blue138
36548.8
108945.4
42331.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16411150100150200250181138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.3
63.864.1
Auto0.1
Teleop64.1
End0.0
red by 15.4
365
#12
48.80.2
48.248.4
Auto2.4
Teleop46.4
End0.0
Second
61.60.3
61.261.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 16.2
1089
#10
45.40.2
44.845.0
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Third
3974
#32
37.00.3
36.636.9
Auto1.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 5.6
423
#28
31.50.2
30.931.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0