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Red176
30373.8
164070.9
465332.6
Blue182
121860.8
19354.2
21945.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17115280100120140160180200220240176182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#6
73.80.0
72.872.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.3
End0.0
red by 13.0
60.80.4
60.861.2
Auto0.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
Second
70.90.0
69.869.9
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
red by 16.6
193
#4
54.20.4
54.254.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Third
4653
#20
32.60.0
31.631.6
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 12.9
219
#25
45.60.4
45.645.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.8
End0.0