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Red175
121860.8
19354.2
21945.6
Blue148
36548.8
108945.4
42331.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16211350100150200250175148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.3
60.560.8
Auto0.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
red by 12.0
365
#12
48.80.4
48.448.8
Auto2.4
Teleop46.4
End0.0
Second
193
#4
54.20.3
54.054.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
red by 8.8
1089
#10
45.40.4
45.045.4
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Third
219
#25
45.60.3
45.345.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.8
End0.0
red by 14.1
423
#28
31.50.4
31.131.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0