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Red188
30373.8
164070.9
465332.6
Blue194
22574.6
31661.7
20347.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1671770400600800188194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#6
73.80.2
72.873.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.3
End0.0
blue by 0.8
225
#7
74.60.2
73.874.0
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
Second
70.90.2
69.970.1
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
red by 9.2
316
#1
61.70.2
60.961.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop61.7
End0.0
Third
4653
#20
32.60.2
31.631.9
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 15.3
203
#17
47.90.2
47.147.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0