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Red164
140361.6
260764.2
397437.0
Blue146
259058.2
167659.9
22231.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014280100120180200220164146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.0
64.164.1
Auto0.1
Teleop64.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
59.90.0
59.959.9
Auto0.2
Teleop59.8
End0.0
Second
61.60.0
61.561.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 3.4
2590
#19
58.20.0
58.258.2
Auto0.8
Teleop57.4
End0.0
Third
3974
#32
37.00.0
36.937.0
Auto1.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 5.2
222
#35
31.90.0
31.831.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0