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Red214
30373.8
164070.9
465332.6
Blue162
140361.6
260764.2
397437.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17115580100120140180200220240214162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#6
73.80.7
73.073.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.3
End0.0
red by 9.6
64.20.0
64.264.2
Auto0.1
Teleop64.1
End0.0
Second
70.90.7
70.170.7
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
red by 9.2
61.60.0
61.761.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
Third
4653
#20
32.60.7
31.932.5
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3974
#32
37.00.0
37.137.0
Auto1.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0