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Red174
22574.6
108945.4
43326.9
Blue137
314226.8
1150.6
122829.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14591050200250174137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#7
74.61.6
73.174.7
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 24.1
11
#11
50.61.7
50.652.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.9
End0.0
Second
1089
#10
45.41.6
43.244.8
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
red by 16.3
1228
#40
29.11.7
27.429.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
433
#51
26.91.6
25.326.9
Auto0.6
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
3142
#45
26.81.7
25.126.8
Auto0.4
Teleop26.4
End0.0