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Red132
27243.2
219125.2
121860.8
Blue142
164744.3
70832.2
5653.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124124120130135140132142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.2
60.860.9
Auto0.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
red by 7.6
56
#15
53.20.7
53.153.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop54.0
End0.0
Second
272
#16
43.20.2
43.043.2
Auto1.0
Teleop42.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1647
#14
44.30.7
43.644.3
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Third
2191
#49
25.20.2
25.125.2
Auto0.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
blue by 6.9
708
#38
32.20.7
31.532.2
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0