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Red20
43326.9
397437.0
22231.9
Blue86
86937.5
42331.5
30373.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821390501001502002502086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#32
37.03.7
32.028.3
Auto1.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 36.8
303
#6
73.82.4
72.570.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.3
End0.0
Second
222
#35
31.93.7
33.329.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 5.6
869
#36
37.52.4
37.635.2
Auto0.6
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
433
#51
26.93.7
28.524.8
Auto0.6
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
423
#28
31.52.4
24.622.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0