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Red126
29336.7
543825.1
32127.7
Blue80
20347.9
70832.2
542019.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858120406010012012680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#24
36.72.0
36.238.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 11.2
203
#17
47.90.3
37.437.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Second
321
#46
27.72.0
30.632.6
Auto0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
708
#38
32.20.3
27.026.7
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
5438
#34
25.12.0
18.820.8
Auto0.9
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 5.9
5420
#53
19.20.3
21.721.4
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0