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Red34
428533.9
48431.1
255930.9
Blue95
27243.2
108945.4
511329.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858440607080903495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#43
33.92.4
34.732.3
Auto0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 11.5
1089
#10
45.40.7
30.431.1
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Second
484
#47
31.12.4
30.928.5
Auto1.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
blue by 12.1
272
#16
43.20.7
37.738.4
Auto1.0
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Third
2559
#27
30.92.4
22.019.6
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 1.8
5113
#26
29.10.7
19.119.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop29.7
End0.0