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Red88
171230.7
164744.3
272922.4
Blue162
140361.6
540721.7
108945.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510105015020025088162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1647
#14
44.30.2
40.440.2
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 17.3
61.63.0
59.262.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
Second
1712
#44
30.70.2
31.531.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 14.7
1089
#10
45.43.0
31.134.1
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Third
2729
#50
22.40.2
19.219.0
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
5407
#48
21.73.0
11.614.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0