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Red154
36548.8
27243.2
255930.9
Blue187
437326.4
121860.8
19354.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100996080120140160180154187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#12
48.82.6
43.346.0
Auto2.4
Teleop46.4
End0.0
blue by 12.0
60.84.1
57.261.3
Auto0.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
Second
272
#16
43.22.6
38.441.0
Auto1.0
Teleop42.2
End0.0
blue by 11.1
193
#4
54.24.1
35.339.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Third
2559
#27
30.92.6
19.622.2
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
4373
#13
26.44.1
12.516.6
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0