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Red116
122829.1
540436.7
48431.1
Blue121
331434.6
1150.6
363728.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76104050150200116121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5404
#29
36.71.6
29.431.1
Auto1.9
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 13.9
11
#11
50.60.9
48.749.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.9
End0.0
Second
484
#47
31.11.6
28.530.2
Auto1.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
blue by 3.5
3314
#37
34.60.9
37.037.8
Auto0.2
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Third
1228
#40
29.11.6
25.126.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 0.2
3637
#22
28.90.9
17.918.8
Auto0.9
Teleop28.0
End0.0