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Red136
171230.7
181135.5
7539.4
Blue152
255930.9
22574.6
397437.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96127050150200250300136152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#21
39.41.6
40.442.0
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
blue by 35.2
225
#7
74.61.3
76.377.6
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
Second
1811
#39
35.51.6
32.734.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
blue by 1.6
3974
#32
37.01.3
28.329.6
Auto1.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Third
1712
#44
30.71.6
31.432.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 0.1
2559
#27
30.91.3
22.223.5
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0