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Red65
36548.8
22231.9
428533.9
Blue96
363728.9
2538.3
272922.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113630501001502006596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#12
48.82.2
46.043.8
Auto2.4
Teleop46.4
End0.0
red by 10.5
25
#41
38.31.1
35.536.6
Auto0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Second
4285
#43
33.92.2
33.931.7
Auto0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 5.0
3637
#22
28.91.1
18.820.0
Auto0.9
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
222
#35
31.92.2
29.627.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 9.5
2729
#50
22.41.1
19.020.1
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0