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Red121
108945.4
437326.4
331434.6
Blue112
114336.6
20347.9
562433.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83980200300400500121112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#10
45.41.6
34.135.7
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
blue by 2.5
203
#17
47.90.6
37.137.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Second
3314
#37
34.61.6
37.839.5
Auto0.2
Teleop34.4
End0.0
blue by 2.0
1143
#31
36.60.6
33.634.2
Auto1.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
Third
4373
#13
26.41.6
16.618.2
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 6.9
5624
#30
33.30.6
28.929.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0