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Red52
192340.2
70832.2
314226.8
Blue66
171230.7
331434.6
42331.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849502003004005005266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#18
40.21.8
34.032.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
3314
#37
34.61.2
39.538.2
Auto0.2
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Second
708
#38
32.21.8
27.725.8
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 0.7
423
#28
31.51.2
24.223.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Third
3142
#45
26.81.8
27.125.3
Auto0.4
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 3.9
1712
#44
30.71.2
32.931.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0