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Red49
29336.7
540436.7
22574.6
Blue102
22231.9
164744.3
27243.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148975020025049102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#7
74.64.8
77.672.8
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 30.3
1647
#14
44.30.3
41.541.2
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Second
5404
#29
36.74.8
28.924.1
Auto1.9
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 6.5
272
#16
43.20.3
39.539.2
Auto1.0
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Third
293
#24
36.74.8
38.934.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 4.8
222
#35
31.90.3
27.427.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0