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Red90
19354.2
48431.1
314226.8
Blue189
181135.5
140361.6
86937.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9213205015020025090189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#4
54.20.6
44.944.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
blue by 7.4
61.62.9
62.865.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
Second
484
#47
31.10.6
31.430.8
Auto1.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
869
#36
37.52.9
34.437.4
Auto0.6
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
3142
#45
26.80.6
25.324.7
Auto0.4
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 8.6
1811
#39
35.52.9
32.935.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0