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Red116
542019.2
331434.6
562433.3
Blue124
164744.3
42331.5
428533.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8696050150200250300350400116124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#37
34.61.3
38.239.5
Auto0.2
Teleop34.4
End0.0
blue by 9.7
1647
#14
44.31.3
41.242.5
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Second
5624
#30
33.31.3
29.831.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4285
#43
33.91.3
33.835.1
Auto0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Third
5420
#53
19.21.3
22.523.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 12.3
423
#28
31.51.3
23.024.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0