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Red136
5653.2
543825.1
192340.2
Blue132
255930.9
272922.4
21945.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10177050150136132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#15
53.21.8
48.450.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop54.0
End0.0
red by 7.7
219
#25
45.62.7
43.846.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.8
End0.0
Second
1923
#18
40.21.8
32.133.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 9.3
2559
#27
30.92.7
20.823.5
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
5438
#34
25.11.8
20.121.9
Auto0.9
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
2729
#50
22.42.7
18.821.5
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0