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Red142
171230.7
86937.5
164070.9
Blue65
5653.2
29336.7
122829.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311115010015020014265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.90.5
62.663.1
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
red by 17.6
56
#15
53.22.7
50.247.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop54.0
End0.0
Second
869
#36
37.50.5
37.437.9
Auto0.6
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
293
#24
36.72.7
36.133.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
1712
#44
30.70.5
32.232.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 1.6
1228
#40
29.12.7
31.729.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0