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Red96
20347.9
164744.3
465332.6
Blue118
31661.7
7539.4
48431.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10013605015020025096118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#17
47.90.6
39.839.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
blue by 13.8
316
#1
61.70.8
57.156.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop61.7
End0.0
Second
1647
#14
44.30.6
42.541.8
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
red by 4.9
75
#21
39.40.8
47.046.1
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
4653
#20
32.60.6
26.726.0
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 1.6
484
#47
31.10.8
30.830.0
Auto1.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0