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Red130
219125.2
30373.8
314226.8
Blue100
540721.7
437326.4
511329.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123580100150200130100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#6
73.80.6
71.572.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.3
End0.0
red by 44.7
5113
#26
29.11.5
23.725.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
3142
#45
26.80.6
24.725.3
Auto0.4
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 0.4
4373
#13
26.41.5
24.626.1
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
Third
2191
#49
25.20.6
21.321.9
Auto0.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 3.5
5407
#48
21.71.5
22.223.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0