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Red139
1150.6
70832.2
125733.6
Blue84
255930.9
562433.3
22231.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127605010015020013984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#11
50.61.4
50.752.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.9
End0.0
red by 17.3
5624
#30
33.30.0
31.131.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
1257
#23
33.61.4
32.634.0
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
222
#35
31.90.0
30.330.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
708
#38
32.21.4
26.928.4
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
2559
#27
30.90.0
23.523.4
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0