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Red124
32127.7
86937.5
331434.6
Blue198
219125.2
164070.9
31661.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100143050200250124198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#36
37.50.7
37.938.6
Auto0.6
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 33.4
70.92.8
63.165.9
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
Second
3314
#37
34.60.7
38.339.0
Auto0.2
Teleop34.4
End0.0
blue by 27.1
316
#1
61.72.8
56.359.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop61.7
End0.0
Third
321
#46
27.70.7
34.034.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
2191
#49
25.22.8
21.924.7
Auto0.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0