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Red200
259058.2
19354.2
20347.9
Blue138
428533.9
568428.1
314226.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15676050100200250200138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#19
58.22.9
62.765.5
Auto0.8
Teleop57.4
End0.0
red by 24.3
4285
#43
33.92.3
37.139.4
Auto0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
193
#4
54.22.9
46.949.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
red by 26.1
5684
#33
28.12.3
28.731.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Third
203
#17
47.92.9
39.142.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
red by 21.1
3142
#45
26.82.3
25.327.7
Auto0.4
Teleop26.4
End0.0