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Red184
164744.3
140361.6
255930.9
Blue169
22574.6
114336.6
167659.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113173050150200250300184169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.62.9
61.464.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
blue by 13.0
225
#7
74.60.1
71.971.8
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
Second
1647
#14
44.32.9
41.844.7
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 15.6
59.90.1
60.960.8
Auto0.2
Teleop59.8
End0.0
Third
2559
#27
30.92.9
23.426.3
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1143
#31
36.60.1
37.537.4
Auto1.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0