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Red121
29336.7
70832.2
48431.1
Blue144
397437.0
125733.6
543825.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9087406080100120140121144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#24
36.71.5
33.534.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3974
#32
37.02.6
36.238.8
Auto1.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
708
#38
32.21.5
28.429.8
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1257
#23
33.62.6
34.036.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Third
484
#47
31.11.5
30.031.4
Auto1.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 6.0
5438
#34
25.12.6
22.024.6
Auto0.9
Teleop24.2
End0.0