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Red61
562433.3
272922.4
86937.5
Blue118
36548.8
568428.1
29336.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611505010015020025061118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#36
37.51.4
38.637.2
Auto0.6
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 11.3
365
#12
48.80.2
48.949.0
Auto2.4
Teleop46.4
End0.0
Second
5624
#30DQ
33.31.4
31.930.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 3.4
293
#24
36.70.2
34.935.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
2729
#50
22.41.4
23.622.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5684
#33
28.10.2
31.131.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0