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Red156
140361.6
465332.6
397437.0
Blue138
21945.6
1150.6
20347.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241420100200300400156138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.2
64.265.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 11.1
11
#11
50.60.0
54.554.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.9
End0.0
Second
3974
#32
37.01.2
38.840.1
Auto1.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 10.9
203
#17
47.90.0
42.042.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Third
4653
#20
32.61.2
28.029.3
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 12.9
219
#25
45.60.0
47.647.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.8
End0.0