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Red152
125733.6
20347.9
27243.2
Blue184
121860.8
86937.5
167659.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111164050150200250152184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#17
47.91.7
42.043.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
blue by 12.9
60.81.4
63.865.3
Auto0.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
Second
272
#16
43.21.7
42.444.2
Auto1.0
Teleop42.2
End0.0
blue by 16.8
59.91.4
60.261.6
Auto0.2
Teleop59.8
End0.0
Third
1257
#23
33.61.7
38.740.5
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 3.9
869
#36
37.51.4
37.238.7
Auto0.6
Teleop36.8
End0.0