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Red135
259058.2
108945.4
42331.5
Blue178
19354.2
5653.2
465332.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134128100120140160180135178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#19
58.20.4
66.566.9
Auto0.8
Teleop57.4
End0.0
red by 4.0
193
#4
54.22.2
52.755.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Second
1089
#10
45.40.4
40.140.5
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
blue by 7.8
56
#15
53.22.2
51.653.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop54.0
End0.0
Third
423
#28
31.50.4
31.832.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4653
#20
32.62.2
29.331.5
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0