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Red162
562433.3
1150.6
2538.3
Blue146
171230.7
31661.7
192340.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117130050100150200250300350162146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#11
50.61.9
51.653.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.9
End0.0
blue by 11.2
316
#1
61.70.6
60.961.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop61.7
End0.0
Second
25
#41
38.31.9
38.540.4
Auto0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0
blue by 1.9
1923
#18
40.20.6
37.838.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Third
5624
#30
33.31.9
33.535.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
1712
#44
30.70.6
34.335.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0