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Red121
181135.5
255930.9
167659.9
Blue230
164070.9
540436.7
260764.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113161050200250300121230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.2
61.661.5
Auto0.2
Teleop59.8
End0.0
blue by 11.0
70.93.5
68.371.8
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
Second
1811
#39
35.50.2
35.135.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
blue by 28.8
64.23.5
56.459.9
Auto0.1
Teleop64.1
End0.0
Third
2559
#27
30.90.2
27.627.5
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 5.8
5404
#29
36.73.5
34.838.3
Auto1.9
Teleop34.8
End0.0