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Red94
22231.9
108945.4
83430.0
Blue76
543825.1
568428.1
219125.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104750501502009476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#10
45.40.5
40.540.0
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
red by 17.3
5684
#33
28.10.3
32.031.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
222
#35
31.90.5
32.832.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 6.6
2191
#49
25.20.3
22.622.3
Auto0.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
834
#42
30.00.5
30.229.7
Auto0.6
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 4.9
5438
#34
25.10.3
27.627.3
Auto0.9
Teleop24.2
End0.0