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Red105
114336.6
43326.9
511329.1
Blue120
27243.2
42331.5
29336.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87109050150200250105120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#31
36.60.9
36.637.5
Auto1.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
blue by 6.6
272
#16
43.20.5
44.244.7
Auto1.0
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Second
5113
#26
29.10.9
29.430.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 7.6
293
#24
36.70.5
33.133.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
433
#51
26.90.9
27.428.2
Auto0.6
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
423
#28
31.50.5
32.232.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0