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Red131
331434.6
125733.6
22574.6
Blue100
511329.1
542019.2
272922.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162470100200250131100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#7
74.60.9
74.073.1
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 45.5
5113
#26
29.11.7
30.332.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
3314
#37
34.60.9
36.435.5
Auto0.2
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 12.2
2729
#50
22.41.7
22.023.7
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
1257
#23
33.60.9
38.837.9
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 14.4
5420
#53
19.21.7
14.315.9
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0