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Red142
22321.2
140361.6
36548.8
Blue150
255930.9
20347.9
219125.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14082050100200250142150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.3
62.562.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 13.7
203
#17
47.92.8
44.847.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Second
365
#12
48.80.3
48.648.9
Auto2.4
Teleop46.4
End0.0
red by 17.9
2559
#27
30.92.8
27.530.2
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
223
#52
21.20.3
25.225.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2191
#49
25.22.8
22.325.1
Auto0.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0