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Red30
440320.5
393319.8
315817.1
Blue38
379419.4
228321.7
35106.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060801001201401603038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#18
20.50.2
11.911.7
Auto0.4
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2283
#10
21.70.2
16.817.0
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
19.80.2
10.710.5
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 0.4
19.40.2
11.311.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
3158
#15
17.10.2
18.017.8
Auto0.3
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 10.9
3510
#36
6.20.2
7.57.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0