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Red15
347831.9
48427.6
440121.2
Blue0
57167.8
531211.1
347216.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35280206080100120140160150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.7
14.312.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 15.9
3472
#23
16.01.0
11.910.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
21.21.7
11.69.9
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 10.1
5312
#33
11.11.0
9.78.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
4842
#37
7.61.7
9.37.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5716
#35
7.80.3
7.87.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0