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Red4
46857.1
460312.5
47468.9
Blue45
472315.8
291420.5
435514.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21280406080100120140160445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#28
12.51.5
7.25.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 8.0
20.51.4
10.111.5
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
4746
#39
8.91.5
8.16.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 6.9
4723
#14
15.81.4
7.58.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
4685
#38
7.11.5
7.25.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4355
#20
14.11.4
10.411.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0