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Red44
352217.9
352715.3
47319.7
Blue59
541527.0
575015.0
440121.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272701020304050604459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.91.3
11.112.4
Auto0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 9.2
27.02.6
8.911.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
3527
#19
15.31.3
7.89.1
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 5.8
21.22.6
9.912.5
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
4731
#32
9.71.3
9.410.7
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 5.3
5750
#13
15.02.6
9.011.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0