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Red15
228321.7
531211.1
53448.8
Blue36
46857.1
347216.0
43719.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3917060801001201401536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#10Sur
21.71.8
19.217.4
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 5.7
3472
#23
16.01.8
9.511.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
5312
#33
11.11.8
7.75.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 1.5
4371
#30
9.61.8
5.97.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
5344
#34
8.81.8
9.88.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 1.7
4685
#38DQSur
7.11.8
5.67.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0