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Red50
541527.0
463511.6
458414.3
Blue12
335414.3
35106.2
57167.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272304060801005012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.9
11.513.4
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 12.7
3354
#25
14.30.6
10.19.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
4584
#22
14.31.9
8.210.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 6.5
5716
#35
7.80.6
8.78.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
4635
#26
11.61.9
8.09.8
Auto0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 5.4
3510
#36
6.20.6
6.05.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0