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Red39
291420.5
460312.5
347831.9
Blue24
473516.4
48427.6
352715.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282404060801001203924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.9
10.912.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 15.5
16.40.1
10.210.1
Auto0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
20.51.9
11.513.4
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 5.2
3527
#19
15.30.1
9.19.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
4603
#28
12.51.9
5.77.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
4842
#37
7.60.1
5.85.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0