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Red45
352613.5
552614.9
460312.5
Blue52
393319.8
477512.6
440121.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253404060801001204552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5526
#11
14.91.5
7.28.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 6.2
21.21.5
12.013.5
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
3526
#17
13.51.5
12.614.0
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 6.3
19.81.5
12.714.3
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
4603
#28
12.51.5
7.69.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4775
#29
12.61.5
8.910.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0