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Red38
401010.9
43719.6
541527.0
Blue35
379419.4
458414.3
478213.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26290204060801001203835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.9
13.414.3
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 7.7
19.40.5
10.811.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Second
4010
#24
10.90.9
6.27.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 3.4
4584
#22
14.30.5
10.010.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4371
#30
9.60.9
7.68.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4782
#16
13.20.5
8.59.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0