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Red26
472315.8
42629.4
347216.0
Blue16
46857.1
47319.7
35106.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302104060801002616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#23
16.00.3
11.210.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
4731
#32
9.70.6
10.29.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Second
4723
#14
15.80.3
9.39.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 8.8
4685
#38
7.10.6
7.46.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Third
4262
#31
9.40.3
9.18.7
Auto0.5
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 3.2
3510
#36
6.20.6
5.44.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0